Migration Alternatives

by Eicher 20. April 2011 05:19

The migration discussion in industrialized countries (aka, the discuss of how to keep immigrants out to protect domestic wages) often forgets to notice that capital is mobile. The WSJ reports how US firms respond to employment cost differentials at home and abroad. Examining capital and labor flows in isolation is not helpful as the two are intimately linked.

Use the Heckscher Ohlin model, making use of the Rybczynski Theorem to analyze the effect of such captial flows on domestic and foreign wages.


Capital Flows

by Eicher 20. April 2011 04:38

As the IMF finally comes around to realize that unfettered capital flows may not be optimal policy for all countries at all times, not all countries agree that the new IMF stance is appropriate. Brazil has long imposed capital controls (see also here) and comes out as one of the harshest critics of the new IMF stance.

At the same time, China is moving in to the opposite direction - well somewhat. The Chinese capital account has been one of the most tightly regulated, which is about to change - slightly, as the WSJ reports. This is a good exercise to see how policy effectiveness in China are going to change in the Mundell Fleming model with fixed exchange rates! 

Straight From the Oracle: Italy Is The Threat

by Eicher 7. April 2011 06:04

Ok, Portugal is a done deal, now people start hand wringing whether Spain is next. Bob Mundell, "Father of the Euro" or better known as the creater of the "Mundell Fleming Model" has been warning for a while that Greece, Ireland, Portugal, and Spain are trivial compared to a potential crisis in Italy. Let's start watching the risk premium on Italian goverment debt. It sounded far out in 2010, today it is an uncomfortable reality.

The Portuguese Package

by Eicher 7. April 2011 05:43

As expected (but long virgerously denied by the Portuguese government), Portugal needs a bailout from the EU to maintain its fixed exchange ratet.  As usual, the past estimates were low: currently the current package has risen to $113 billion... The WSJ reports a few hours later that its closer to $126 billion...Things are starting to get interesting. Some has noticed that Spain will be next - recall that most of Portuguese debt is held by Spain...)

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Local Slumps

by Eicher 3. April 2011 03:20
Washington State is still in a revenue slump, while the rest of the states seem to be recovering according to the Wall Street Journal. The Census provides detailed data on state revenues

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Data | Titbits

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