Theo S Eicher, Department of Economics

Theo S Eicher
Castor Professor in Economics
Areas of Interest: Trade, Development and Growth, Macroeconomics
Email: te@u.washington.edu
Home Page: http://faculty.washington.edu/te
Office: Savery 330
Phone: (206) 685-8082
Office Hours:
Curriculum Vitae
Professor Eicher received his BA in Chinese Studies and Economics from Grinnell College in 1988, and his Ph.D. from Columbia University in 1994. His fields of interest are International Trade, Development and Growth, and Macroeconomics.

Courses Taught

Books

Inequality and Growth: Theory and Policy Implications , Theo Eicher and Stephen Turnovsky eds. MIT Press 2003
Institutions, Development and Growth, Theo Eicher and Cecilia García-Peñalosa eds. MIT Press 2006
International Economics (Undergraduate Textbook), Theo Eicher, John Mutti and Michelle Turnovsky. Routledge Press, New York, NY, 2009
Information Technology and Productivity Growth: German Trends and OECD Comparisons,, Theo Eicher and Thomas Strobel. Edward Elgar Publishing 2009

Working Papers

UWEC-2012-05 - " Did Established Early Warning Signals Predict the 2008 Crises?* ," Theo S. Eicher; Charis Christofides; Chris Papageorgiou. (PDF)

(PDF) = PDF File which requires Adobe Acrobat Reader

Published Papers

UWEC-2011-13-P - "Intellectual Property Rights as Development Determinants," Theo S Eicher; Monique Newiak, University of Washington and University of Munich; Canadian Journal of Economics, Volume 46, No. 1 February 2013. (PDF)
UWEC-2011-07-FC - "Robust FDI Determinants: Bayesian Model Averaging In The Presence Of Selection Bias ," Theo S Eicher; Lindy Helfman; Alex Lenkoski; Forthcoming in Journal of Macroeconomics, . (PDF)
UWEC-2007-18-P - "Trade Creation and Diversion Revisited: Accounting for Model Uncertainty and Natural Trading Partner Effects," Theo Eicher; Christian Henn ; Chris Papageorgiou ; Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2010. (PDF)
UWEC-2007-15-P - "Institutions and Growth: Time Series Evidence from Natural Experiments," Theo Eicher; Till Schreiber; Journal of Development Economics , 91 (2010) 169–179. (PDF)
UWEC-2009-14-P - "Modeling uncertainty in macroeconomic growth determinants using Gaussian graphical models," Adrian Dobra, University of Washington; Theo S. Eicher, University of Washington; Alexander Lenkoski, University of Washington; Statistical Methodology, . (PDF)
UWEC-2009-19-FC - "Bayesian Model Averaging and Endogeneity Under Model Uncertainty: An Application to Development Determinants," Theo S. Eicher; Alex Lenkoski; Adrian Raftery; Forthcoming in Econometric Reviews, . (PDF)
UWEC-2007-17-P - "Education, Corruption and Constitutional Reform," Theo Eicher; Cecilia García-Peñalosa ; Tanguy van Ypersele; Journal of Economic Growth, Vol 14 (August 2009):205-31. (PDF)
UWEC-2009-08-FC - "One Money, One Market: A Revised Benchmark," Theo Eicher; Christian Henn; Forthcoming in Review of International Economics, . (PDF)
UWEC-2007-16-P - "Institutions and Economic Performance: Endogeneity and Parameter Heterogeneity," Theo Eicher; Andreas Leukert; Journal Money Credit and Banking, Vol. 41, (February 2009): 197-219. (PDF)
UWEC-2007-19-P - "In Search of a Sulphur Dioxide Environmental Kuznets Curve: A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach," Theo Eicher; Jeff Begun; Environment and Development Economics, Vol 13, 6 (December 2008), pp 1-28. (PDF)
UWEC-2008-22-FC - "In Search of WTO Trade Effects: Preferential Trade Agreements Promote Trade Strongly, But Unevenly," Theo S. Eicher, University of Washington; Christian Henn, IMF; Forthcoming in journal of international economics, . (PDF)
"Dynamic Effects of Terms of Trade Shocks: The Impact on Debt and Growth ," Theo Eicher; Stefan Schubert; Steve Turnovsky; Journal of International Money and Finance, Vol 27, 6, (September 2008): 876-896. (PDF)
UWEC-2007-14-P - "Endogenous Strength of Intellectual Property Rights," Theo Eicher; Cecilia García-Peñalosa; European Economic Review , 2008. (PDF)
UWEC-2007-25-P - "Default Priors and Predictive Performance in Bayesian Model Averaging, with Application to Growth Determinants," Theo Eicher; Chris Papageogiou ; Adrian E Raftery; Journal of Applied Econometrics, . (PDF)
"Unraveling the Fortunes of the Fortunate: An Iterative Bayesian Model Averaging (IBMA) Approach ," Theo Eicher; Oliver Roehn; Chris Papageorgiou; Journal of Macroeconomics, Vol 29, 3 (September 2007): 494-514. (PDF)
"Sources of the German Productivity Demise ," Theo Eicher; Oliver Roehn; German Economic Review,, 8, (May 2007): 211–236 . (PDF)
"Guest Editorial: Special Issue on Productivity Growth," Theo Eicher; German Economic Review, 8, (May 2007): 123-4 .
"“Institutional Determinants of Economic Performance in OECD Countries – An Institutions Climate Index” ," Theo Eicher; Oliver Roehn; Journal for Institutional Comparisons, Vol 1 No 1 (2007), pp. 39-49 . (PDF)
"How Do Institutions Lead Some Countries To Produce So Much More Output Per Worker Than Others? ," Theo Eicher; García-Peñalosa ; Utku Teksoz; in T. Eicher and C. García-Peñalosa eds “Institutions, Development and Growth” , MIT Press 2006. . (PDF)
"Financial Liberalization, Openness and Convergence ," Theo Eicher; Leslie Hull; Journal of International Trade and Economic Development, Vol 13:4 443–459 November 2005. (PDF)
"”FDI, Exports or Acquisition: Optimal Entry Modes for Multinational Corporations,” ," Theo Eicher; Jong Woo Kang; Journal of Development Economics, Vol 77, 1, (June 2005):207-228 . (PDF)
"Financial Liberalization, Openness and Convergence ," Theo Eicher; Leslie Hull; Journal of International Trade and Economic Development, Vol 13 (2005):443–459. . (PDF)
"Political Support or Contributions: An Empirical Investigation of US Trade Policy ," Theo Eicher; Thomas Osang; G. Heiduk and K. Y. Wong eds. WTO and World Trade: Challenges in a New Era, Springer Verlag 2004 . (PDF)
"Market Structure and Innovation Revisited: Endogenous Productivity, Training and Market Shares ," Theo Eicher; Sang Choon Kim; Human Capital, Trade And Public Policy In Rapidly Growing Economies M. Boldrin, B. Chen , and P. Wang (eds), NY Edward Elgar 2004. (PDF)
"The Impact of Tax Policy on Inequality and Growth: An Empirical and Theoretical Investigation ," Theo Eicher; Stephen Turnovsky; Carme Riera Prunera; Inequality and Growth: Theory and Policy Implications Theo Eicher and Stephen Turnovsky eds., Cambridge: MIT Press. 2003. (PDF)
"Protection for Sale: An Empirical Investigation: A Comment," Theo Eicher; Thomas Osang; American Economic Review, Vol 92, No 5 (2002): 1702-11.. (PDF)
"Inequality and Growth: The Dual Role of Human Capital in Development," Theo Eicher; Cecilia García-Peñalosa; Journal of Development Economics, Vol 66, (2001): 173-97. . (PDF)
"Financial Liberalization and Capital Flow Reversal," Theo Eicher; Steve Turnovsky; Uwe Walz; Economic Review , Vol.52, No.4, (October 2001). . (PDF)
"Transition Dynamics in Non Scale Models," Theo Eicher; Steve Turnovsky; Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol 25, (2001):85-113.. (PDF)
"Scale, Congestion and Growth," Theo Eicher; Steve Turnovsky; Economica, 67, (August 2000):325-47. . (PDF)
"Optimal Policies for Financial Liberalizations," Theo Eicher; Steve Turnovsky; Uwe Walz; German Economic Review,, 1, (February 2000):19-42. . (PDF)
"Convergence in a Two Sector Non-Scale Growth Model," Theo Eicher; Steve Turnovsky; Journal of Economic Growth, 4, (December 1999):413-429.. (PDF)
"A Generalized Model of Economic Growth," Theo Eicher; Steve Turnovsky; Economic Journal, 109, (July 1999):394-415. . (PDF)
"Trade, Development and Converging Growth Rates: Dynamic Gains From Trade Reconsidered," Theo Eicher; Journal of International Economics, 48, (June 1999): 179-198.. (PDF)
"International Capital Markets and Non Scale Growth," Theo Eicher; Steve Turnovsky; Review of International Economics, 7, (May 1999):1-27.. (PDF)
"Training, Adverse Selection and Appropriate Technology," Theo Eicher; Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 23, (April 1999):727-746.. (PDF)
"Risk and Financial Development ," Theo Eicher; Stephen Turnovsky; Capital Flows and Exchange Rates: Lessons from the Pacific Basin Economies, Reuven Glick (ed), Cambridge Univ. Press, 1998.
"The Human Capital Dimension to Direct Foreign Investment," Theo Eicher; Pantelis Kalaitzidakis; Trade, Dynamics and Growth, B. Jensen and K.Y. Wong Eds, University of Michigan Press 1997, pp200-250. (PDF)
"Interaction Between Endogenous Human Capital and Technological Change," Theo S Eicher; Review of Economic Studies , vol. 63 (1) no 214, (January 1996):127-44..
"Education, Technological Change and Economic Growth," Theo Eicher, University of Washington; Thomas Bailey, Columbia University; Inter-American Review of Educational Development, No 119, III (1994): 461-81..